Basketball game prediction

Polars.io
3 min readOct 19, 2022

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Basketball is one of the most popular sports for prediction. Players have been making money from basketball for years and aren’t going to give up anytime soon. While the sport itself is simple, figuring out where to start predicting can be difficult.

Ultimately, you’ll probably develop your own strategy, but we can help you by giving you some tips that will give you the right direction.

Pre-forecasting study

Basketball is unique among sports in that players can and will leave the starting lineup until the game actually starts. In baseball, lineup cards are submitted hours before the game. In soccer, assets/non-assets are posted the morning before the game starts. In basketball, players may be taken off the bench because of a cold or muscle strain. Pay attention to social media and be aware of any last minute lineup changes.

Past games

Obviously, the first element to consider when predicting basketball will be the physicality of the teams and the key players involved in your prediction. By this is meant, it will be useful to analyze the last games played by either team, both in terms of results and in terms of game statistics such as points scored and missed, offensive and defensive rebounds, etc. By doing this, you will get an idea of what the upcoming match of your choice might promise, both in terms of the result and the final score.

Team schedule

Fatigue plays a huge role in the success of teams in basketball. Unlike sports like soccer, teams play many games and their schedules change, often throughout the week. Look at how many games the team has played recently and whether they are on a long road trip. If a team is playing their fourth game in five days, you can bet they will be tired, which means they will be slower and less likely to perform well.

It is also important to look at the location of these games, as away games will definitely take more energy from the team. Also, look at the distance the team has to travel to play another game. If they drive cross-country back and forth for every game, the journey will tire them out even more.

You should also pay attention to what stage in their season it is, because the effects of this usually do not begin to show as much in the first quarter of the season. The closer the season comes to its conclusion, the more the moves tire the players out.

Road favorites after a loss

There is a popular strategy, which is to look at teams that have won an away game after losing the previous game. These teams are clearly strong enough in terms of talent to still have an away advantage after a big loss, which means that they have a lot of strength and are ready to win.

Teams that were able to win after an away loss, statistically over the last 10 years, have won the following 60% of their games

Check the compositions

This is a fairly simple tip that, unfortunately, is too often ignored. When you make predictions for games, be sure to check injury reports and rosters before taking part in an event.

Make sure that the players you have high expectations for are actually participating in the game. It only takes a few minutes and can save you a lot of money in the long run.

Conclusion

If you want to make successful predictions on basketball games, you should always learn the basics of analyzing the sport. This includes getting to know the teams, studying past and future games and taking a closer look at the teams in the round.

Using various tips to increase your chances of winning won’t do much good if you don’t know the sport you are predicting. Study the events and never hesitate to come up with your own strategy.

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