3 days agoINTUITIVE AND RATIONAL FORECASTINGThis article is about the use of intuition in forecasting. Since complete information about an event is not available and accurate analysis of a future event requires a lot of effort and time from the forecaster, it is not always possible to make fully rational decisions, sometimes you have to…Crypto3 min read
Jun 13Prime rates for forecasting and decision makingTo see the future, you must first see the past. This is the idea of the “prime rate. Prime rates are the hallmark of good forecasting and decision-making, with the most accurate forecasters using them more often than less accurate colleagues. Prime rates are simply the frequency with which a…Cryptocurrency3 min read
Jun 7Money Management in Event ForecastingMoney management is one of the most important skills every successful player should have. Many newcomers to prediction ignore this vital thing and think that just being able to predict sports and other outcomes is enough. Of course, talent and the ability to predict is necessary, but it is not…Trading4 min read
May 23Polars: Pending Orders ReleaseWe are launching the functionality of pending orders on the POL platform in the Heco network. Now you will be able to make predictions in advance, for each event separately. This functionality should improve user experience. Now there is no need to be present on the platform before each event…Crypto2 min read
May 2016 tips and tricks on how to make money on betsAre you looking for betting tips that work? We’ve got just what you need: 17 of our tips and tricks to help you make better decisions and avoid mistakes. Here are the basic principles of a successful betting strategy. Newbies shouldn’t be in a hurry to bet right now. You…Trading5 min read
May 4Is the crowd wise? Revealing the results of a popular trading strategy study.Knowing how to predict is one of the most important skills when it comes to betting on events. Although making an accurate prediction can sometimes be difficult, appealing to the wisdom of the crowd seems practical and, moreover, quite accurate. …Trading4 min read
Apr 25History of the prediction markets: where did the fashion for prophecy come from?We are all prognosticators. We all want to know what will happen next. Will I get COVID-19 disease? Will I be working in three months? Will the stores have what I need? Will I be able to finish my project? Will Donald Trump be re-elected president of the United States? …Trading5 min read
Jan 27Polars: Tokenomics Update 2022It was decided to optimize the tokenomics and adjust the market capitalization of the project in accordance with the real fundamentals of the platform at the moment. We used to have 1.6 billion POL tokens. Of these, 1 billion were intended for distribution among active users. We decided to reduce…2 min read
Jan 12Polars Roadmap 2022The main problem for prediction markets is Low liquidity in unpopular markets. We have a vicious circle that cannot be broken. Liquidity providers are reluctant to add liquidity to unpopular events due to low user activity. Users, in turn, do not want to make predictions in illiquid markets due to high risks and slippage. And so in a circle. As we…4 min read
Jan 5Polars: Trade Pool Suspended.For a long time, we observed the processes that take place in the Polars pools and faced the presence of an unobvious effect of washing out liquidity from the Prediction Pool. The difficulty in tracking was that the washout was delayed. From a mathematical point of view, after we excluded…Trading2 min read
